YOUR BITCOIN QUESTIONS, IN CONTEXT
A price target.
A clearer perspective.
Explore what the model estimates, save the outcomes you care about, and follow every edition through to its result.
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The probability landscape
Estimated probability of finishing above each USD target. Colour expresses probability, not forecast quality.
| USD target | 24h |
|---|---|
| $69,690.98-10% | >99.9% |
| $73,562.70-5% | 97.7% |
| $75,885.73-2% | 78.7% |
| $77,434.420% | 50.8% |
| $78,983.11+2% | 22.9% |
| $81,306.14+5% | 3.2% |
| $85,177.86+10% | <0.1% |
24h published Nov 1, 00:01 UTC; ends Nov 2, 00:01 UTC.
How reliable is this estimate?
Evidence is always available to everyone. Model-wide direction scores are not a validation of your individual target probability.
24h · formula-v1-poc-cmc-v1
Experimental · predictive skill not established
Constant 50% baseline: 0.25000
Reference observed 2026-11-01 00:00:02 UTC · 1 valid providers. Edition published 2026-11-01 00:01:02 UTC. This is a publication-time reference, not a live quote. The sample is too small for a dependable skill conclusion. Inspect the complete track record →
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Start your journal →Experimental model estimates, not guarantees or trading recommendations. USD prices only. Each probability refers to the end of the displayed horizon, not touching a price along the way.