BTC Horizon
Experimental public beta · Probabilities are model outputs, not financial advice or trading signals.
Personal research project

About BTC Horizon

BTC Horizon is an auditable experiment in presenting Bitcoin uncertainty honestly—not a price oracle or trading service.

01

Purpose

The project collects independent market observations, publishes time-stamped forecasts, and keeps the outcomes visible. Its goal is to make assumptions and errors inspectable.

02

Current stage

BTC Horizon is an experimental public beta. Its model and interface remain under evaluation, and no forecast should be treated as financial advice or a trading signal.

03

Operator

BTC Horizon is currently operated by Marcos Mendes, an individual based in Portugal. No company has been formed for this free personal research beta.

04

Research authorship

Research notes are published by Marcos Mendes for BTC Horizon. They explain this project’s model implementation and evaluation choices. This attribution does not claim an academic qualification, external certification or independent peer review.

05

Editorial approach

Research articles are prepared with AI assistance using project code, documented operational records and identified sources. Hypothetical examples are labelled, observed incidents are dated, and limitations are stated. Publishing a note does not establish predictive skill.

06

Corrections and evidence

Readers can compare research explanations with the model assumptions on the methodology page and the public forecast record. Material corrections should identify what changed and when. Report an error through the contact address below; private logs and personal account data are not published as supporting material.

07

Contact

Questions and privacy requests can be sent to [email protected].